Picking early this week as flying to Lousiville tomorrow for Friday's "Battle for the Keg of Nails" game against Cinicinnati and then down to Lexington to watch South Carolina try and follow up a big win with a victory over Kentucky.
6-7-1 on the season after the poor 1-2 showing last weekend (NC State was a big winner, Stanford didn't cover and Florida couldn't even win, let alone cover).
Iowa -3 at Michigan - Iowa, like Michigan State, plays a very physical defense and has a great defensive line. Denard Robinson may be a special player, but this isn't a creampuff like the Wolverines first five opponents. Iowa will have similar results as the Spartans did last weekend.
Air Force -1 at San Diego State - Maybe this is why I'm sub .500, but I don't see how the Aztecs are nearly a pick 'em against the Falcons. This seems like easy money , but when you're right 46% of the time, you're wrong 54% of the time. Bet accordingly.
Southern Miss -14.5 Memphis - Memphis lost 56-0 last week to Lousiville, who isn't nearly good enough to be putting 50-plus on an opponent. The Tigers have lost by more than 40 three times already. The Golden Eagles have enough offense to put this one away early and the only way they don't cover is with a backdoor cover down the stretch. Like NC State last week, I'm going with the good team who lost to an unpredictable team (East Carolina) over a bad team who lost to a bad team.
"We want the Nails!!!!"
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