Friday, September 16, 2011

Picks for Sept. 16-17 Games

Rebounded a little bit last week, going 2-1 (thanks Iowa for not being able to hold a lead, or to make a 4th down stop, or finish off the Cyclones) and bringing the overall record to 3-4 for the season.  Four games this week, starting with Friday night.

Boise State -20 at Toledo - Boise State loves these showcase games and tends to show the country what they can do against so called "Little Sisters of the Poor".  The Broncos will steamroll Toledo at Toledo, a team Ohio State barely got by at home, and will get no credit for doing so.  And we'll listen to the ESPN commentators comment about what a good college quarterback Kellen Moore is but that he doesn't have the size, speed or arm strength to make it in the NFL and that he's a system-quarterback.  Hmmm...reminds me of another quarterback from the 80's who was a little short, a little slow, couldn't throw the long ball, was part of an offensive system.  And like Moore, was deadly accurate, an assassin with the game on the line, and just kept winning until people finally had to take notice.  How do you think the talking heads would view Joe Montana if he was playing college today?

Central Florida -5.5 at Florida International -  Florida International got a nice win last week at Louisville.  Unfortunately, beating the Cardinals isn't something to get too excited about.  Central Florida went 11-3 last year with a bowl win over Georgia and has started off 2-0 this year.  They will be too physical for the Golden Panthers and put them away early.

Oklahoma -3 at Florida State - I'm a little hesitant with this one because the Sooners seem to have their problems on the road.  But with a veteran team led by quarterback Landry Jones and a solid defense going against EJ Manuel, I like the Oklahoma to buck the trend and take out the Seminoles.  Interesting stat on this one:  The ACC is 0 for their last 32 against Top 5 teams.

Nevada -6 at San Jose State - This number just seems too low, but then the people in the desert have made a lot of money off of people who think that the number seems too low.  I just don't see it on this one.  San Jose State is a really bad football team who made a decent showing against a not so good team last week (UCLA).  The Spartans won't be able to keep up with the Wolfpack and this one will get out of hand in the first half if Nevada doesn't turn it over.  Nevada will run wild and the sting of the ugly blowout loss to Oregon last week will be relieved some here.

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