Saturday, September 21, 2013

Week 4 Picks

The season mark moved to 7-2 by going 4-1 last week, with only a backdoor cover by Texas A&M spoiling the perfect record.  This is another week of dog games (Savannah State vs Miami, Florida A&M vs Ohio State, etc.), but conference play kicks in next week.  Still, it's college football and we'll still watch.

at Baylor -30 UL Monroe - In their green and gold uniforms, their fast-paced offense and their point a minute scoring, Baylor is becoming Oregon Southwest.  ULM got blown out by another Big 12 team, Oklahoma, the opening weekend, 34-0.  Baylor's offense is better than the Sooners and they'll overwhelm the Warhawks as they push towards 60 again.

Kansas State +6.5 Texas - Texas' rush defense is a dumpster fire right now.  They're stopping no one and giving up yards in huge chunks.  Kansas State isn't as good as they were last year, but they should be good enough to keep this within a score and I'm predicting the Wildcats will beat the Longhorns again and turn the heat up some more on Mack Brown.

at Florida -16 Tennessee - Remember when this game was a big game every year?  When Spurrier would lob barbs at Fulmer and Manning and how the Volunteers couldn't beat them.  The luster has come off this for national interest but it's still big for the SEC East standings.  The Gators didn't look good against Miami in their last game and the turnovers in the red zone killed them.  But...they did move the ball up and down the field against the Hurricanes, and against the Volunteers, they'll finish them off in the end zone.  The Gators defense will be too much and Florida wins easily.

at Maryland -3.5 West Virginia - The Terrapins have greatly improved since last season.  The same can't be said for the Mountaineers.  Maryland's offense has been rolling and they've even played some decent defense.  West Virginia struggle to beat William & Mary, looked inept against Oklahoma and then rolled up 41 on Georgia State.  Maryland wins to go to 4-0 on the season and maybe throw themselves into the discussion for ACC championship.

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