Saturday, November 9, 2013

Week 11 Picks

After going 4-1 last week, the season record moved to 28-15-1.  Looking to keep it rolling this weekend with a number of games in the SEC.

Missouri -13.5 at Kentucky - With Oregon's loss on Thursday night, a potential window has opened for Missouri.  Win out (and win convincingly), beat Alabama in the SEC Title game and maybe look at a National Title shot.  It starts against Kentucky and the Tigers should be able to tame the Wildcats.

Auburn -7.5 at Tennessee - Auburn is another SEC team who was helped out by the Ducks loss.  If they can run the table and beat a one-loss Missouri in the SEC Title game, they might end up in the National Title game.  The Tigers top 10 rushing offense goes up against Tennessee's not very good rushing defense and their tempo should wear out the Volunteers in an easy win.

at Alabama -12 LSU - This has been a very close game the last few years, at least in the regular season.  LSU is one of the few teams who doesn't seem to fear playing the Crimson Tide...but this year, the Tigers defense isn't what it's been in the past and the big weakness is the run defense and Alabama's strength is the running game.  The Tide will wear out the LSU defense and Alabama's defense will force a couple turnovers as the Tide rolls.

at Mississippi -17 Arkansas - The Razorbacks are not very good and they are skidding out of control like Bobby Petrino on a motorcycle right now.  Ole Miss gets bowl eligible with a win against Arkansas.  The Rebels only losses this year are to Alabama, Auburn and Texas A&M.  The Razorbacks haven't been competitive at all against good teams this year, losing their last five games by double-digits.  Ole Miss wins easily and gets bowl eligible.

USC -16.5 at Cal - The Trojans have played very well since Lane Kiffin got fired, especially the defense.  Cal's defense hasn't played well all year and the offense has only been average.  USC won't need a lot of points to win this game and their defense should be able to hold the Bears down and cover the number.

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